https://www.polity.org.za
Deepening Democracy through Access to Information
Home / News / All News RSS ← Back
Close

Email this article

separate emails by commas, maximum limit of 4 addresses

Sponsored by

Close

Embed Video

1

Deliberately weakened rand could 'bite us in the leg', warns Twine

2nd November 2010

By: Irma Venter
Creamer Media Senior Deputy Editor

SAVE THIS ARTICLE      EMAIL THIS ARTICLE

Font size: -+

Exports from South Africa were less hampered by the strong rand than by the poor performance of the G7 economies, said Econometrix senior director Tony Twine on Tuesday, speaking at a Ford media briefing.


He noted that the rand's foreign exchange value was a matter of hot debate at the moment, as South African producers and exporters believed the strong rand was to blame for the real value of exports declining.

Advertisement


Twine said that this had lead to some South African producers calling for the deliberate weakening of the rand to "rescue exports" which they said had "become too expensive".


However, said Twine, money was currently flowing from the slow-growing G7 economies to developing countries, including South Africa, in search of better returns than the world's major economies could offer, so it was "no real surprise" that the G7 gross domestic product was softening, and the rand strengthening.

Advertisement


"If we deliberately weaken the rand, it could turn around and bite us in the leg very quickly if the existing position of traders and investors changed, and the G7 [countries] again become more attractive as investment destinations, or emerging markets less attractive."


Examples of a weak rand bearing its teeth include the fact that imports - ranging between a wide variety of consumer and industrial goods used in the South African economy - accounted for between 22% to 25% of total spending within the economy.


"If the rand was to weaken against other currencies across the board, or even just major currencies like the US dollar, euro and yen, most of that 22%-plus imports would be exposed to the change," noted Twine.


"The cost, insurance and freight prices at local ports would increase, as would most of the value added by onshore participants who use the imported goods as inputs to their business activities."


Outside of the trading goods and services, financing arrangements in foreign currencies would become more expensive in rand terms, added Twine, including major borrowings by government and parastatals denominated in foreign currency terms.


"Those trade and finance exposures are simply round one of the impacts of a weaker rand, and quickly transmit to the prices of wholly South African made goods and services.


"A third level of exposure exists in South African produced items which use either import or export parity pricing policies, an example of the first being steel and of the second being foodstuffs."

 

EMAIL THIS ARTICLE      SAVE THIS ARTICLE      FEEDBACK

To subscribe email subscriptions@creamermedia.co.za or click here
To advertise email advertising@creamermedia.co.za or click here


About

Polity.org.za is a product of Creamer Media.
www.creamermedia.co.za

Other Creamer Media Products include:
Engineering News
Mining Weekly
Research Channel Africa

Read more

Subscriptions

We offer a variety of subscriptions to our Magazine, Website, PDF Reports and our photo library.

Subscriptions are available via the Creamer Media Store.

View store

Advertise

Advertising on Polity.org.za is an effective way to build and consolidate a company's profile among clients and prospective clients. Email advertising@creamermedia.co.za

View options

Email Registration Success

Thank you, you have successfully subscribed to one or more of Creamer Media’s email newsletters. You should start receiving the email newsletters in due course.

Our email newsletters may land in your junk or spam folder. To prevent this, kindly add newsletters@creamermedia.co.za to your address book or safe sender list. If you experience any issues with the receipt of our email newsletters, please email subscriptions@creamermedia.co.za