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May mining output falters on uncertain commodity prices

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May mining output falters on uncertain commodity prices

Chamber of Mines of South Africa chief economist Henk Langenhoven
Photo by Duane Daws
Chamber of Mines of South Africa chief economist Henk Langenhoven

13th July 2017

By: Martin Creamer
Creamer Media Editor

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JOHANNESBURG (miningweekly.com) –  Mining production data released by Statistics South Africa on Thursday revealed a second consecutive month of production contraction.

The -0.2% contraction and the -1.4% contraction in April are viewed as concerning by Chamber of Mines of South Africa chief economist Henk Langenhoven, owing to their erosion of the 5% production improvement of the first five months of this year.

Production is now stuck at 2016 levels, which were 5% down on 2015, with the decline largely attributable to a combination of commodity price uncertainty and a nigh-17% stronger rand.

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The local currency has strengthened 5%-plus since January.

Although the average prices of the four important export commodities were higher in the six months compared with a year ago, January 2017 seemed to indicate a turning point, with production starting to falter shortly thereafter.

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The rand commodity price index has fallen 12% in the last six months, when the rand landed-price for coal and iron-ore fell by 13.5% and 32% respectively.

The gold price remained steady and the platinum price fell 9%, commodities that constitute 86% of exported minerals, the chamber said in a release to Creamer Media’s Mining Weekly Online.

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