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Iran
is using negotiations with the European Union's "big three" on
suspending sensitive nuclear activities to buy the time it needs to
get ready to make atomic weapons, an Iranian exile and intelligence
officials said.
With intelligence sources saying Iran could be months away from
nuclear weapons capability, the US wants Iran reported to the
United Nations Security Council immediately, charging Tehran uses
its civilian atomic energy programme as a front to develop the
bomb. Tehran vehemently denies the charge.
France, Britain and Germany want to avoid isolating Iran and have
taken a go-slow approach, negotiating with Iran to suspend uranium
enrichment activities.
"Iran continues to use existing differences between the US and
Europe to their advantage and tries to drag out talks with the EU
to buy time," Alireza Jafarzadeh, an Iranian exile who has reported
accurately on Iran's nuclear programme in the past, told
Reuters.
"They feel they have bought at least ten months," Jafarzadeh said.
He said he was citing sources in Iran familiar with the results of
a recent high-level meeting on Iran's nuclear programme attended by
Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
Jafarzadeh said officials at the meeting also decided to allocate
an additional $2-billion from Iran's central bank reserves to
supplement some $14-billion already spent on what he called Iran's
"secret nuclear weapons programme".
The EU trio has expressed disappointment at Iran's failure to keep
promises it made in October to suspend all activities related to
the enrichment of uranium, a process of purifying it for use as
fuel for atomic power plants or in weapons. But the three remain
committed to a process of engagement with Tehran.
However an intelligence official said a failure to act now as
Washington would like, could be decisive for the development of an
Iranian nuclear weapons capability.
"The Europeans express helplessness, despair and lack of strategy,
which is exactly what (the Iranians) want to hear," a senior non-US
intelligence official said.
"This is their golden opportunity, between now and the coming of a
new (US) administration."
The UN International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has been
investigating Iran's nuclear programme ever since Jafarzadeh
announced in August 2002 on behalf of the National Council of
Resistance of Iran (NCRI), an exiled opposition group, that Iran
was hiding several massive nuclear sites from the IAEA.
Although the EU trio are reaching the point where they too might
support a referral of Iran's nuclear programme to the Security
Council, which could impose economic sanctions, diplomats in Vienna
say they will give Iran one more chance to end its enrichment
activities before the November IAEA meeting.
On Tuesday, diplomats said Iran had agreed with the Europeans in
principle to renew its suspension of centrifuge production,
assembly and testing. But US and other officials dismissed this as
a ploy to escape a Security Council referral.
"Iran is playing for time," a Western diplomat told Reuters.
The IAEA Board of Governors meets next week to discuss Iran's
nuclear programme, parts of which it hid from the UN nuclear
watchdog for nearly two decades. Vienna diplomats say the EU three
oppose a UN Security Council report next week.
Diplomats and intelligence officials say this may give Iran just
enough time to reach the point where it has all the technology and
expertise it needs to develop an atom bomb at a time of its
choosing.
"It is a matter of several months, up to a year, most probably less
than a year (for nuclear capability)," the intelligence official
said.
"By that time we think they will have enough feed material for the
centrifuges so they won't be dependent on foreign input."
Iran recently announced it would convert 37 t of raw "yellowcake"
uranium into uranium hexafluoride, the feed material for
centrifuges. Experts say this is enough for a bomb.
The official said the IAEA was making a mistake by being so
cautious about what the agency has called a lack of any evidence
proving Tehran has a covert military atomic programme.
"If the IAEA would wait forever to see a smoking gun ... it will be
too late," the official said. - Reuters.