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Two
years after lurching towards war and sparking fears of a
nuclear meltdown in South Asia, rivals India and Pakistan come
together this weekend to discuss ways to reduce such potentially
cataclysmic risks.
Anti-nuclear activists are demanding that both sides agree to
dismantle warheads from missiles and that the arch-rivals institute
safeguards against accidental use of their weapons of mass
destruction.
But in Islamabad, Pakistani foreign office spokesman Masood Khan
said the discussions in New Delhi would focus on "strategic
stability, nuclear crisis management, risk reduction and
coordinated as well as responsible stewardship".
The talks will also coincide with a meeting of the two countries'
foreign ministers in China on the sidelines of a regional
conference -- their first exchange since a change of government in
New Delhi.
"Since India now has a less hawkish government and Pakistan is now
an ally of the US, one would expect tangible confidence-building
measures (CBMs) from the talks," said Jay Prakash of the Delhi
Science Forum, one of India's top disarmament groups.
The former government of Hindu nationalist premier Atal Behari
Vajpayee conducted nuclear weapons tests in May 1998, prompting
Pakistan to carry out tit-for-tat tests a few days later –
which drew a slew of US-led sanctions against both.
The two South Asian neighbours, who have fought three wars since
1947, have refused to endorse nuclear non-proliferation
treaties.
Islamabad and New Delhi, however, agreed to discuss
confidence-building measures and launch a dialogue after a landmark
pact between Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf and Vajpayee in
January to resolve all issues, including the dispute over
Kashmir.
Disarmament groups in both countries appeared gladdened by
Musharraf's recent statement that Pakistan was prepared to cut down
its nuclear arsenal if India did the same, but experts said mere
pledges would be futile.
"We don't have any worldwide military ambitions. We maintain a
force for deterrence," Musharraf said in Dubai on June 4 and
offered to make South Asia a "nuclear-free zone" if India
agreed.
Strategic analyst Raja Mohan said the two sides -- who moved
towards nuclear war twice in 2002 following an attack on the Indian
parliament in December 2001 by Islamic insurgents which New Delhi
blamed on Islamabad -- must focus on practical steps to enhance
nuclear security.
"For India and Pakistan, the priority on the nuclear front is to
put in place effective CBMs and avoid such unverifiable proposals
as non-deployment of nuclear weapons," Mohan said.
"The two sides must also prepare to launch a broader
military-strategic dialogue that will avoid the prospect of even a
conventional war in the (South Asian) subcontinent," Mohan said in
recently published comments.
Anti-nuclear activists warn that since neither India nor Pakistan
have the technology to recall a nuclear-tipped missile fired in
error, an accidental launch could trigger an unimaginable holocaust
in the region of 1,5-billion people.
"And so, as we welcome the proposed bilateral talks on a number of
issues including nuclear risk reduction measures (NRRM), we are
opposed to the long-range missiles in their possession," said
Veenita Bal, of the Coalition for Nuclear Disarmament and Peace
(CNDP).
The CNDP, which is coordinating the efforts of disarmament groups
in both countries ahead of the meeting, said "hollow" talks on
issues such as transparency in the nuclear doctrines of the two
nations were not only meaningless but also risky.
"Transparency is a vague term because if one party is identified as
the enemy then there cannot be any transparency. It is ridiculous,"
said Prakash, whose Forum is also a member of the CNDP.
"The best and strongest form of NRRMs is to separate the nuclear
warheads from delivery systems and store them and monitor them
elsewhere," said Bal, a scientist. – Sapa-AFP.