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Seve
ral African heads of state are due to meet in Tanzania today
for an umpteenth summit on Burundi which is expected to focus on
the thorny issue of election dates and the country's last active
rebel group.
All the key players in efforts to end more than a decade of civil
war in the central African country have confirmed they will be in
Dar es Salaam for the meeting: presidents Domitien Ndayizeye of
Burundi, Thabo Mbeki of South Africa, Yoweri Museveni of Uganda and
Benjamin Mkapa of Tanzania.
Also expected are presidents Paul Kagame of Rwanda, Levi Mwanawasa
of Zambia and Ethiopian Prime Minister Meles Zenawi.
More than 300 000 people have been killed since a variety of Hutu
groups in Burundi took up arms against the dominant Tutsi minority
in 1993, and the tiny central African country's economy and
infrastructure has been left in ruins.
"The summit will be decisive, that's for sure," Burundian Foreign
Minister Therence Sinunguruza said.
"And we are certain it will adopt the government's proposal to
delay elections," he added.
Ndayizeye wants to push elections, and thereby the end of a
transition period, a year beyond the current deadline of late
October, but the largest former rebel group, the Forces for the
Defence of Democracy (FDD), now a partner in government, is having
none of it.
"Billeting and disarming former rebels has not begun... A census
must be prepared. The constitution, common and electoral law have
to be discussed and adopted," Ndayizeye explained recently,
justifying the argument for a delay.
"There can be no agreement on delaying the elections. Therefore the
summit meeting will settle the issue," said FDD Secretary General
Hussein Radjabu.
"The FDD have the Hutus, who make up 85 percent of the population,
behind them," noted a diplomat posted to Bujumbura.
"They feel they can win the elections, they want them to be held
very soon," he added.
Most Tutsi parties, however, are afraid of being excluded from
political life and don't want to go to the polls without
constitutional guarantees.
"Rushing into this will plunge the country into chaos," predicted
the leader of one small Tutsi party, Joseph Nzeyimana.
Hutu politicians, for their part, are determined polls should be
conducted on a one-man-one-vote system and are totally averse to
any weighting in favour of the small Tutsi minority.
"That would be unacceptable," declared Jean de Dieu Mutabai of
Frodebu, the largest Hutu party.
"Elections cannot be organised (by October). The transition period
must be extended or Burundi will have badly organised elections
that could spell trouble," warned the diplomat.
"But a year is a long time for the FDD, and they must be given
something in exchange," he advised.
Also on the summit's agenda is what to do about the National
Liberation Forces (FNL), the only armed Hutu group still at war in
Burundi.
The summit "will try to bring the FNL into the peace process,"
Lakela Kaunda, spokesman for mediator-in-chief and South African
Deputy President Jacob Zuma, said in May.
"The peace process in Burundi is a chimera. It does not exist," FNL
spokesman Pasteur Habimana retorted, when contacted by AFP.
"The three-month ultimatum given to the FNL (by an earlier summit)
has expired. The region must take the necessary measures," said
Ndayizeye, whose government is in favour of sanctions against the
rebels.
But taking such punitive measures against the diehard rebel group
would have little effect, according to Habimana.
"We have no foreign bank accounts, we don't travel by plane. What
sanctions are they going to impose on us?" he wondered.
"Regional states must be embarrassed. They have threatened
sanctions against a movement they have no hold over. What kind of
sanctions will they use? It will be interesting to see that," mused
the diplomat. - Sapa-AFP