https://www.polity.org.za
Deepening Democracy through Access to Information
Home / News / All News RSS ← Back
Close

Email this article

separate emails by commas, maximum limit of 4 addresses

Sponsored by

Close

Embed Video

1

African growth robust as South Africa sputters – IMF

17th April 2012

By: Reuters

SAVE THIS ARTICLE      EMAIL THIS ARTICLE

Font size: -+

High commodity prices will buoy much of sub-Saharan Africa in 2012, but South Africa will continue to stumble due to its deep ties to crisis-ridden Europe, the International Monetary Fund said on Tuesday.

Growth in sub-Saharan Africa will pick up to 5.4% this year thanks to new mineral and oil production and the growth of export markets outside Europe, according to the fund's latest world economic outlook.

Advertisement

But South Africa, the region's largest economy, will grow by a modest 2.7% this year, as it struggles with weaker terms of trade and a decrease in business confidence.

"Sluggish growth in South Africa may require some policy support," the report said.

Advertisement

South Africa depends on Europe as a market for its high value-added exports, and has seen soaring unemployment, stock market volatility and currency depreciation, due to the eurozone's sovereign debt crisis.

South Africa's 2012 growth forecast was revised up from 2.5% in January, while a projection for regional growth in 2012 was revised down modestly from 5.5%.

Many other sub-Saharan countries have benefited from limited exposure to Europe as well as rebounding agricultural sectorsafter last year's droughts, the report said.

Oil exporting sub-Saharan countries are projected to grow by 7.3% in 2012, buoyed by Angolan oil production.

Nigeria, another major oil producer, will grow by 7.1%.

Despite the generally rosy predictions, the IMF warned of knock-on effects to African economies if Europe tumbles further.

Such a shock would likely be transmitted via South Africa,and would hit African exports, remittances, aid and private investment.

"Adverse shocks affecting South Africa can quickly spread to neighboring economies, through their effect on migrant workers'incomes, trade, regional investment, and finance," the report noted.

South Africa should consider further monetary easing if the slowdown continues, the report noted, as long as inflation remains low.

EMAIL THIS ARTICLE      SAVE THIS ARTICLE      FEEDBACK

To subscribe email subscriptions@creamermedia.co.za or click here
To advertise email advertising@creamermedia.co.za or click here


About

Polity.org.za is a product of Creamer Media.
www.creamermedia.co.za

Other Creamer Media Products include:
Engineering News
Mining Weekly
Research Channel Africa

Read more

Subscriptions

We offer a variety of subscriptions to our Magazine, Website, PDF Reports and our photo library.

Subscriptions are available via the Creamer Media Store.

View store

Advertise

Advertising on Polity.org.za is an effective way to build and consolidate a company's profile among clients and prospective clients. Email advertising@creamermedia.co.za

View options

Email Registration Success

Thank you, you have successfully subscribed to one or more of Creamer Media’s email newsletters. You should start receiving the email newsletters in due course.

Our email newsletters may land in your junk or spam folder. To prevent this, kindly add newsletters@creamermedia.co.za to your address book or safe sender list. If you experience any issues with the receipt of our email newsletters, please email subscriptions@creamermedia.co.za