This Easter is not so much the season of goodwill as the season of scenarios. Several institutions have compiled different scenarios on what SA could look like some years into the future. These follow the National Plan which has now developed into a primary policy document of the ANC.

An interesting and very powerful contribution to this flood of let's-look-forward-publications has been made by the SA Reserve Bank. It is a unique contribution because it is firmly rooted in economic modelling, gives us quantative data and focuses wholly on the economy.

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Written by JP Landman, trend and political analyst