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SA out of recession with 2.2% GDP growth

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SA out of recession with 2.2% GDP growth

 SA out of recession with 2.2% GDP growth

4th December 2018

By: News24Wire

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The South African economy has officially exited the recession after reporting 2.2% Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth for the third quarter of the year, Statistics South Africa announced on Tuesday morning at a briefing in Pretoria. 

South Africa slipped into a technical recession during the first half of the year following two consecutive quarters of negative growth, denting initial positive market sentiment after the election of Cyril Ramaphosa as president. 

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The rebound was in line with the expectations of economists surveyed by Fin24, who projected positive growth of between 0.8% to 2.5%.

Stats SA announced that GDP growth for the second quarter of the year was revised from -0.7% to -0.4% after figures for the mining and manufacturing industries were revised upward. Data on agriculture and construction were revised downwards, explained Statistician-General Risenga Maluleke.

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The main drivers of growth during the third quarter were the secondary industry, which grew by 4.5%, and the tertiary sector, which grew by 2.6%.

While manufacturing helped boost the growth of the secondary sector, the electricity and construction sectors contracted by 0.9% and 2.7% respectively.

The tertiary sector was boosted by growth in the trade (3.2%), transport (5.7%), finance (2.3%), government (1.5%) and personal services (0.7%) industries.

The primary industry slumped by 5.4% in the third quarter.

While agriculture grew by 6.5%, mining slumped by 8.8%, largely due to the decrease in production, particularly for platinum, iron ore and gold.

In nominal terms, GDP was valued at R1.27-trillion for the third quarter, this is R40-billion more than the second quarter. 

During the period household final consumption expenditure grew by 1.6%, but gross fixed capital formation declined by -5.1%. 

Despite the rebound, economists expect overall GDP growth for 2018 to remain weak, even perhaps less than a percent. The South African Reserve Bank has projected just 0.6% real economic growth for 2018, while ratings agency S&P Global expects an increase of 0.8% for the full year. 

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